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  • Big 3

    In addition to starring in a singularly scary photograph (Wall Street Journal)—

    ob-ct661_auto3__g_20081204132140

    —executives of the big automakers (and associated groups) outlined a plan for action with their asking for federal funds from Congress (see below):

    General Motors Ford Chrysler
    Requested Funds Term loans of up to $12 billion through end-2009; $6 billion line of credit $9 billion line of credit $7 billion loan by end-2008
    Fuel Efficiency Will launch predominately high mileage, energy-efficient cars and crossovers Improve the fuel economy of its fleet an average of 14% for 2009 models, 26% for 2012 models and 36% for 2015 models compared to 2005 models 73% of the 2009 models will have better fuel efficiency than previous models
    Green Initiatives Will invest $2.9 billion in alternative fuels and technologies through 2012; will offer 15 hybrid models by 2012. Chevy Volt scheduled to be produced in 2010 A battery-powered commercial van due in 2010, a battery powered sedan in 2011, and a plug-in hybrid by 2012; will invest $14 billion on advanced technologies during next seven years Introduce first full-function electric-drive model in 2010; will produce more than 500,000 electric vehicles by 2013
    Brands Will focus on Chevrolet, Cadillac, Buick and GMC; will consider selling Saab and Hummer; sell or consolidate its Saturn brand Explore selling Volvo
    Operations Plan plant consolidations Cut the number of dealers selling its vehicles, and retool plants to make small cars in the U.S. Further factory rationalization, sharing platforms and components and other technical innovations expected to yield between $3.5 billion to $9 billion annually when fully implemented
    Staffing/Labor Wants further changes in labor agreements, including on job security, paid time-off, and health-care Negotiating with UAW for more cost savings Plans to cut work force and reduce health-care benefits
    Financial Restructuring Trying to cut $30 billion from its debt load; dividend will remain suspended during the life of loans. Expects North America to break even by 2012 Expects a return to profitability in 2011. Expects a return to profitability by the end of 2009.

    Source: Wall Street Journal

    Not only does Alan Mulally look like the nicest of the bunch, but it also appears that his organization has the most concrete plans for action in this crisis. Specific benchmarks, both in terms of time and result, evidence of current action, and a willingness to scrimp with the rest of us; these steps win out. Mulally is by no means without blame, but he does appear, both in this article and others to be changing his tact in light of the new economy.

    We need a lot more “This is what I will do” rather than “This is what I will consider” in times of crisis.



    Stillwater

    Sam Gallup, New York miner lost his job in August, found a job in Montana, took the few days drive out to the mine, worked one shift, and was laid off as one of the 500 the mine let go.

    He now is waiting for his one day check.

    It would be different they found out he lied, or he got in a fight, or something else. But to be laid off, after just being hired …

    The good news (hopefully) is that he is now interviewing with a company in Nevada and he has received some help along the way. Amid the multitude of calls for greater corporate transparency in times of crisis, this group simply missed it. My wife mentioned to me that she was surprised at the internal miscommunication; the executive team completely failed to mention to the hiring team that there would be some needed cutbacks.

    Now they have all this negative press because they thought it would be better to leave everyone in the dark. I suppose this is their subtle introduction to new media.

    We understand layoffs, and we understand hiring freezes, and Stillwater, the company he worked one day for, should have understood that these usually go in reverse order. But to do something like this … this is why so many people hate corporate America. What a shame.



    Socializing Risk
    14 October 2008, 10:30 am
    Filed under: economy, leadership, politics | Tags: , , ,

    Uppity Wisconsin asks:

    Why is that every time bad investments made by private institutions go belly up, the U.S. taxpayers are called upon to socialize the financial risk?

    This is a fair question, but I see a bit of hypocrisy in this discussion (not necessarily from this source, but from public outcry). In May, CNNMoney reports:

    Politicians are eyeing oil profits like a fat juicy glazed ham.

    The argument for windfall taxes is the reverse of the previous critique. Why should we privatize risk and then socialize profits? Organizations should be accountable and if we deem them “too big or too essential to fail”, they should also be deemed too integral to be lucrative for the shareholders. But we cannot have both. We cannot demand that when companies that have privatized the risk reap major returns that they share those rewards with everyone.

    We should not forget the Little Red Hen—even if it is politically popular.



    Efficiency

    I spent the better part of last week lying sick in a Marriott room in Washington, D.C. While there, I had the opportunity to watch a lot of news cable and read the complimentary reading material (save the morning that some fellow traveler stole my morning paper). The Newsweek issue that was in my room included an article by Fareed Zakaria that noted (discussing the current economic crisis):

    This crisis should put an end to false debates about government versus markets. Governments create markets, and markets can exist only with regulation. If you want to be truly free of regulation, try Haiti or Somalia. The real trick is to craft good regulations that allow markets to work well.

    Pundits can argue about the theory of what is a free market and what steps lead us to the slippery-slope of socialism, but the fact is, this “freer-is-better” model has done tremendous damage to the economy, both domestically and internationally (see Fukyyama’s article for more discussion on this damage).

    The economist’s goal, and the goal of the market creators, is not a test of how free or constrained is a market, but rather, how efficient. It is disturbing for moral judgments to come into play about market freedom without the discussion of efficiency in that debate.

    For example, something as dull as trademark laws allow brands to flourish and brands should be allowed to flourish because they eliminate waste and empower consumers. This is the moral high ground. Trademark laws, sanitary regulations, and safety requirements are not actually tools of a free market. In fact, a totally free market says that the providers of goods will self-govern and therefore those needed requirements will materialize without government coercion because consumers will demand it. But such a position creates such a burden on the consumer that the waste and pain in creating an efficient solution is destructive.

    Sure, we could let this market work it’s way out of this mess as we did in 1929. It would eventually happen and therefore we could justify the pedantic expositions concerning free systems and the power of the masses. And in the course to this achieving justification, we would lay waste with thousands of ruin lives and devastated souls as its consequence.

    Which course at that point is the morally just?



    A Time for Pain
    8 April 2008, 12:52 pm
    Filed under: economy | Tags: , ,

    In the FT article discussing the implications of impending recession, it is interesting to consider the household aspect of this crisis. Though painful, this expected hurt will be helpful as it will bring us back into alignment with an efficient marketplace. Thinking of the rapid increase in home value over the last few years (or decades) and we may note that in selling these homes (among other assets) that perhaps the crashing of value when there is a massive sell off (whether through owners or creditors) is simply a needed correction (as painful as it may be). In that light, as the “dominoes” fall down, it is simply a mechanism that brings about again equilibrium (though government can step to either slow the fall or prevent it completely as long as it is willing to increase control indefinitely). The latter option is appealing in the short-term, but in the long-run, such control is likely to impede markets and progression if not carefully balanced. I would much rather have short-term pain and let the invisible hand guide the markets.